According to data from specialised staffing firm Xpheno, close to 7,300 people have returned to India from the US so far in 2026, following 15,100 returnees in 2025 and 9,700 in 2024. Indian technology talent hiring is at a 28-month low in June 2026, according to the same firm. Companies are being conservative with hiring budgets, and openings at the seniority level most returnees occupy are limited.

Why redeployment is slow

Two factors are slowing redeployment for returning professionals : 1) Shortage of senior openings in the current market. India's $280 billion outsourcing industry is in a prolonged hiring slump that mirrors the slowdown in global tech spending. 2) The salary mismatch. Professionals who spent years earning in dollars, with US cost-of-living adjustments, are arriving with compensation expectations that the current Indian market is finding difficult to match.

Industry insiders note that returnees are favouring India over alternative hubs such as Dubai, citing uncertainty in West Asia. However, redeployment into full-time senior roles remains slow despite that preference.

Where opportunities exist

Global capability centres are the most active hiring ground for returning professionals right now. GCCs are outpacing IT services firms in technology hiring, particularly in AI, cloud, and domain-specific roles. Professionals with ten or more years of experience in a single domain, financial services technology, healthcare systems, enterprise software, have a specific advantage in the GCC market. Those with US product company experience are in particular demand, as GCCs prioritise professionals who have worked in product environments rather than services delivery.

Startups and GCCs are also increasingly engaging senior returnees as fractional CXOs (part-time or project-based senior leadership roles ) before committing to full-time positions. This provides some engagement but does not offer the employment stability most returnees are seeking.

The broader context

Over 100,000 people were laid off across US technology companies in 2026, according to data from Layoffs.fyi. Companies including Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft have all conducted significant workforce reductions this year, with artificial intelligence cited as a contributing factor in several cases. It is unclear how many of those laid off were H-1B visa holders. Under US immigration rules, H-1B workers who lose their jobs have 60 days to find a new sponsoring employer or leave the country.

The Indian technology sector is simultaneously facing its own structural pressures including AI-driven automation reducing demand for routine technical roles, and a global slowdown in outsourcing spending affecting the IT services companies that have historically absorbed returning talent.

What this means for professionals

For Indian technology professionals currently on H-1B visas in the US, the data from Xpheno and the current state of the Indian market suggest that a return to India, if required, will involve a more extended job search than in previous cycles.

For those already back in India, GCCs represent the most accessible pathway at the current moment, particularly for professionals with deep domain expertise and product company experience. The fractional CXO model is an emerging option for senior professionals while the full-time market recovers.

Sources

Economic Times — H-1B returnees meet one of the worst Indian tech job markets, June 26, 2026

Xpheno — Indian technology talent hiring data, June 2026

Layoffs.fyi — US tech layoff tracker, June 2026